Shooting Efficiency: Oklahoma is an efficient scoring team, ranking 28th in FG% (48.3%), which will challenge Texas A&M’s strong interior defense.
Elite Free Throw Shooting: The Sooners convert 80.3% from the line (4th nationally), which is a major advantage in a close game.
Three-Point Threat: Oklahoma shoots 36.8% from deep (48th nationally), an area where Texas A&M’s defense is solid but not elite (31.1% opponent 3P%, 76th).
Low Turnovers: Their 1.2 AST/TO ratio (148th) shows solid ball control.
Defensive Strengths:
Perimeter Defense: Oklahoma holds opponents to just 28.7% from three (11th nationally), a major problem for Texas A&M’s struggling 31.4% 3P shooting (307th).
Turnover Creation: The Sooners force 7.4 steals per game (37th), which could disrupt A&M’s half-court sets.
Solid Interior Defense: Oklahoma allows 43.2% FG (190th nationally), which isn’t elite but matches up well against A&M’s 291st-ranked shooting offense (42.6%).
Texas A&M Aggies (15-5, 11-7-2 ATS)
Offensive Strengths:
Dominant Rebounding: Texas A&M ranks 2nd nationally in offensive rebounds (13.6 per game) and 16th in total rebounds (37.1 per game), giving them a major second-chance scoring advantage.
Free Throw Volume: The Aggies get to the line 24.2 times per game (19th nationally), which can slow down Oklahoma’s transition game.
Physical Playstyle: Even though their FG% is low (42.6%, 291st), they attempt 60.9 shots per game (92nd), creating scoring chances through sheer volume.
Defensive Strengths:
Interior Defense: Texas A&M holds opponents to 39.2% FG (20th nationally), making it difficult for Oklahoma to score inside.
Shot Blocking Presence: The Aggies average 5.2 blocks per game (65th nationally), protecting the rim well.
Turnover Creation: Texas A&M forces 14.4 turnovers per game (49th nationally), which could pressure Oklahoma’s guards.
Key Metrics Comparison
Offense
Metric
Oklahoma (Rank)
Texas A&M (Rank)
FG%
48.3% (28th)
42.6% (291st)
3P%
36.8% (48th)
31.4% (307th)
FT%
80.3% (4th)
67.4% (303rd)
Rebounds
29.9 (317th)
37.1 (16th)
Assists
14.4 (126th)
12.4 (286th)
Turnovers
12.1 (184th)
12.2 (206th)
Points per Game
79.9 (44th)
75.3 (170th)
Defense
Metric
Oklahoma (Rank)
Texas A&M (Rank)
Opponent FG%
43.2% (190th)
39.2% (20th)
Opponent 3P%
28.7% (11th)
31.1% (76th)
Defensive Rebounds
29.8 (122nd)
27.9 (31st)
Steals
7.4 (37th)
7.5 (85th)
Blocks
3.1 (274th)
5.2 (65th)
Points Allowed
70.4 (171st)
65.8 (42nd)
Pace and Tempo
Texas A&M prefers a slower, physical game, relying on rebounding and free throws to control possessions.
Oklahoma thrives in a more efficient, perimeter-focused game, with their shooting giving them an edge in a faster-paced contest.
Edge: If Oklahoma can control tempo with three-point shooting, they have a path to an upset. If Texas A&M dominates the glass, they can slow things down and wear out Oklahoma.
Home/Away Performance
Team
Record
ATS
O/U
Away Record
Home Record
Oklahoma
15-4
9-10
11-8
1-2
9-2
Texas A&M
15-5
11-7-2
7-13
2-3
9-1
Texas A&M (9-1 at home) is significantly stronger in College Station.
Oklahoma (1-2 on the road) has struggled away from home, making this a tough spot.
Edge: Texas A&M – They defend well at home and will have the crowd backing their physical style of play.
Matchup-Specific Factors
Rebounding Disparity: Texas A&M’s 2nd-ranked offensive rebounding vs. Oklahoma’s 317th overall rebounding is a massive mismatch.
Perimeter Shooting Battle: Oklahoma has the edge here with a 36.8% 3P% (48th) vs. A&M’s 31.1% opponent 3P% (76th).
Free Throw Importance: Oklahoma is 4th in FT% (80.3%), but A&M gets to the line more (24.2 attempts per game, 19th nationally).
Turnovers & Ball Security: Both teams are about even in turnovers, but A&M’s pressure defense could create problems.
Game Odds
Team
Spread
Total
Moneyline
Oklahoma
+8.5 (-110)
o144.5 (-110)
+310
Texas A&M
-8.5 (-110)
u144.5 (-110)
-400
Solomon Washington (Texas A&M) is a game-time decision. He’s started all 20 games, and his absence would weaken A&M’s interior defense.
Prediction and Betting Insights
Predicted Winner and Final Score
Predicted Score: Texas A&M 74, Oklahoma 69
Winner:Texas A&M, but closer than the spread suggests.
Spread Pick: Oklahoma +8.5 (-110)
Why?
Texas A&M doesn’t often blow out quality opponents.
Oklahoma’s three-point shooting and free throws will keep them in the game.
A&M’s rebounding edge will help them win, but their poor FG% (42.6%, 291st) makes an 8.5-point cover difficult.
Total Pick: Under 144.5 (-110)
Why?
Texas A&M’s slow pace and rebounding focus could reduce possessions.
Oklahoma’s road struggles suggest their scoring could dip slightly.
While Texas A&M should win at home, Oklahoma’s perimeter shooting and free throw efficiency make them a strong play to cover the spread. Texas A&M’s rebounding dominance will dictate the game, but expect a competitive matchup.
