Game Preview: (6) Ohio State vs. (3) Texas
Date & Time: January 10, 2025, 4:30 PM
Broadcast: ESPN
Spread: Ohio State -6
Preview
Ohio State (12-2, 4th Big Ten)
Ohio State enters this matchup as a dominant force on both sides of the ball. On offense, their balanced attack is impressive, averaging 437.9 yards per game (32nd nationally) and 36.4 points per game (11th). The quarterback has been efficient, which has bolstered their strong passing offense (263.4 yards/game). While their rushing attack is not elite, it remains consistent, ranking 54th with 169.1 yards/game.
On the other hand, Ohio State’s defense is exceptional, leading the nation in total yards allowed (267.6), passing yards (152.4), and points per game (12.1). Furthermore, their ability to stifle opponents on third downs and limit big plays has been a key to their success all season.
Key Advantage: Ohio State’s defense is the best in the country, excelling at shutting down both the pass and the run. Consequently, this could force Texas into uncomfortable situations throughout the game.
Texas (13-2, 1st SEC)
Texas, on the other hand, brings a high-powered offense to this showdown. They average 457.1 yards per game (17th) and 34.3 points per game (21st). Their balanced approach is evident, as they boast a potent passing attack (278.5 yards/game, 15th) while maintaining a respectable rushing game (165.5 yards/game, T-62nd).
Defensively, Texas is no slouch either. They rank 3rd in total defense (298 yards/game) and 4th in points allowed (14.5). Although their defense isn’t as suffocating as Ohio State’s, their ability to limit rushing yards (111.9/game) and pressure quarterbacks has kept them competitive against elite opponents.
Key Advantage: Texas thrives on explosive plays, particularly through their passing game. As a result, this could be crucial against Ohio State’s stout defense.
Key Matchups
- Ohio State’s Defense vs. Texas’s Offense:
Texas has the tools to challenge Ohio State’s top-ranked defense, particularly through the air. However, Ohio State’s ability to limit passing yards and generate pressure will make it challenging for Texas to sustain drives efficiently. - Red Zone Execution:
Ohio State holds a slight advantage in red-zone efficiency on both sides of the ball. This could prove pivotal, especially in a close game where every scoring opportunity matters. - Rushing Battle:
Ohio State’s slight edge in rushing yards/game and their superior rushing defense could dictate the tempo and time of possession. Additionally, controlling the ground game often correlates with overall success in physical matchups.
Prediction
Ohio State’s defense will likely be the deciding factor in this game. Against a Texas offense that relies heavily on its passing attack, the Buckeyes’ ability to control the line of scrimmage and force third-and-long situations could put significant pressure on Texas.
While Texas’s offense has the potential to create explosive plays, Ohio State’s consistency on both sides of the ball, combined with their elite defense, gives them the upper hand. Their ability to limit big plays, capitalize on turnovers, and execute efficiently in the red zone should allow them to control the game’s pace.
Final Score Prediction:
Ohio State 27, Texas 17
Pick Against the Spread:
Ohio State (-6): The Buckeyes’ defensive dominance and balanced offense make them the better bet to cover the spread. Confidence Level: High
