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Minnesota @ Indiana (Spread: Indiana -10)
- Summary: Indiana is one of the better teams in the Big Ten, consistently displaying a balanced offensive and defensive approach. Minnesota, on the other hand, has struggled with offensive inefficiency and ranks significantly lower in most metrics.
- Analysis: Indiana’s fast tempo and efficient scoring are key factors in this matchup. Minnesota’s slower pace may initially keep the game close, but Indiana’s ability to generate turnovers and push the pace will likely create a double-digit lead in the second half. Additionally, Indiana’s strong home-court advantage in a Big Ten setting adds value to this pick.
- Best Bet: Indiana -10. Expect Indiana to pull away late due to superior depth and efficiency.
Hofstra @ Norfolk State (Spread: Norfolk State -3.5)
- Summary: Norfolk State is traditionally strong defensively, particularly at home, while Hofstra brings an up-and-down offense into the matchup. Both teams have shown inconsistencies, but Norfolk State’s defensive edge could be the deciding factor.
- Analysis: Hofstra has struggled to perform against defensively minded teams, and Norfolk State’s ability to limit transition opportunities is a significant factor. Look for Norfolk State to control the tempo, especially in the half-court setting, where they excel.
- Best Bet: Norfolk State -3.5. Their defensive prowess and home-court edge make them a solid choice.
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina State (Spread: South Carolina State -2)
- Summary: Charleston Southern has been slightly more efficient than South Carolina State this season, particularly on the offensive end. However, both teams have significant defensive weaknesses, which could lead to a high-scoring, closely contested game.
- Analysis: Charleston Southern’s ability to generate consistent offense, even against tougher opponents, gives them a slight edge. South Carolina State’s reliance on forcing turnovers may backfire against a team that can handle defensive pressure effectively.
- Best Bet: Charleston Southern +2. They are better equipped offensively to exploit South Carolina State’s defensive gaps.
Pennsylvania @ VCU (Spread: VCU -23.5)
- Summary: VCU is among the better defensive teams in the Atlantic 10, known for their aggressive press defense. Pennsylvania, while competitive in their conference, lacks the depth and athleticism to match VCU’s relentless pace and pressure.
- Analysis: While VCU should dominate the game, covering a spread as large as 23.5 points can be challenging. If Pennsylvania can limit turnovers and control the tempo, they may avoid a blowout. VCU’s fast-paced style may also lead to mistakes or periods of inefficient play.
- Best Bet: Pennsylvania +23.5. VCU will win comfortably, but the spread is too high to justify a pick against the underdog.
Abilene Christian @ Baylor (Spread: Baylor -24)
- Summary: Baylor is one of the most efficient offensive teams in the nation, capable of overwhelming opponents with their scoring. Abilene Christian, while scrappy and defensively sound, is unlikely to keep up with Baylor’s elite talent and depth.
- Analysis: Baylor’s high-powered offense should create an early lead, but large spreads can be tricky. If Baylor rests starters in the second half, Abilene Christian might take advantage to close the gap. Baylor’s defense has occasionally allowed lower-ranked teams to score late, making the spread risky.
- Best Bet: Abilene Christian +24. Baylor will likely win by a comfortable margin but may not maintain a lead large enough to cover the spread.
Summary of Best Bets
- Boston University (if spread <20 points)
- Indiana -10
- Norfolk State -3.5
- Charleston Southern +2
- Pennsylvania +23.5
- Abilene Christian +24