Quick Pick: Lipscomb -12.5
Lipscomb’s efficient offense and superior shooting give them a major edge against a struggling West Georgia team. The Bisons rank 70th in FG% (47.0%) and thrive at the free-throw line (76.0%, 45th nationally), providing a key advantage in closing out games. Defensively, they hold opponents to 41.8% FG (95th) and 31.0% 3P (68th), making it tough for West Georgia’s already inefficient offense (43.5% FG, 257th; 30.6% 3P, 331st) to keep pace.
West Georgia’s 1-13 record at home and weak defensive metrics (48.1% opponent FG, 351st nationally) indicate they’ll struggle to contain Lipscomb’s balanced attack. Lipscomb’s superior shooting efficiency, free-throw reliability, and defensive pressure should allow them to control the game and cover the spread.
Game Preview: West Georgia vs Lipscomb
Lipscomb Bisons (15-8, 10-7-4 ATS, 7-14 O/U, 7-5 Away, 8-3 Home)
West Georgia Wolves (4-19, 9-13 ATS, 15-7 O/U, 1-13 Away, 3-4 Home)
Game Odds
| Team | Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lipscomb | -12.5 | Over 145.5 | -900 |
| West Georgia | +12.5 | Under 145.5 | +575 |
Offensive Comparison
| Category | Lipscomb | West Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 78.5 (84th) | 69.3 (299th) |
| FG% | 47.0% (70th) | 43.5% (257th) |
| 3P% | 33.4% (216th) | 30.6% (331st) |
| FT% | 76.0% (45th) | 68.7% (284th) |
| Total Rebounds | 34.0 (107th) | 29.3 (323rd) |
| Offensive Rebounds | 7.8 (283rd) | 8.3 (246th) |
| Assists Per Game | 15.8 (61st) | 13.3 (224th) |
| Turnovers Per Game | 10.3 (40th) | 11.6 (142nd) |
Offensive Breakdown
Lipscomb Bisons
- Shooting Efficiency: 47.0% FG (70th nationally), significantly better than West Georgia’s 43.5% (257th).
- Three-Point Shooting: 33.4% (216th), slightly below average, but West Georgia struggles to defend the perimeter.
- Free Throw Advantage: 76.0% FT (45th) vs. West Georgia’s 68.7% (284th).
- Ball Security: 10.3 TO per game (40th), showing strong ball control.
- Weakness: Offensive rebounding is below average (7.8 ORPG, 283rd nationally).
West Georgia Wolves
- Poor Shooting Team: 43.5% FG (257th), 30.6% 3P (331st) – struggles to score efficiently.
- Limited Three-Point Attempts: Only 17.9 per game (346th), meaning they don’t stretch defenses well.
- Weak Free Throw Shooting: 68.7% FT (284th) could hurt in late-game situations.
- Rebounding Deficit: 29.3 RPG (323rd), with poor defensive rebounding.
- Turnovers: 11.6 per game (142nd) – not terrible, but not great.
Defensive Comparison
| Category | Lipscomb | West Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| Opponent PPG | 67.0 (56th) | 78.1 (325th) |
| Opponent FG% | 41.8% (95th) | 48.1% (351st) |
| Opponent 3P% | 31.0% (68th) | 36.0% (322nd) |
| Defensive Rebounds | 32.0 (225th) | 32.7 (269th) |
| Steals Per Game | 6.6 (115th) | 7.6 (246th) |
| Blocks Per Game | 3.0 (226th) | 2.9 (206th) |
Defensive Breakdown
Lipscomb Bisons
- Strong FG Defense: 41.8% opponent FG (95th nationally).
- Three-Point Defense: 31.0% opponent 3P% (68th) – a clear advantage against West Georgia’s weak perimeter shooting.
- Turnovers: Forces 6.6 steals per game (115th) – not elite but decent.
- Weakness: Low shot-blocking ability (3.0 BPG, 226th nationally).
West Georgia Wolves
- Terrible FG Defense: 48.1% opponent FG (351st nationally), one of the worst in the country.
- Poor Perimeter Defense: 36.0% opponent 3P% (322nd nationally), meaning Lipscomb could exploit this.
- No Interior Presence: Allows 32.7 rebounds per game (269th nationally).
- Weak Turnover Production: 7.6 steals per game (246th), showing minimal defensive pressure.
Key Matchup Factors
- Shooting Efficiency
- Lipscomb (47.0% FG, 70th) vs. West Georgia’s 48.1% opponent FG (351st) → Major Advantage for Lipscomb
- Three-Point Battle
- Lipscomb’s 33.4% 3P (216th) vs. West Georgia’s 36.0% opponent 3P (322nd) → Edge to Lipscomb
- Turnover Battle
- Lipscomb has better ball control (10.3 TO, 40th) vs. West Georgia’s weak defensive pressure (246th in steals) → Lipscomb should take care of the ball
- Free Throws
- Lipscomb 76.0% FT (45th) vs. West Georgia 68.7% FT (284th) → Clear late-game advantage for Lipscomb
Prediction & Betting Insights
Predicted Score: Lipscomb 80, West Georgia 64
Best Bet: Lipscomb -12.5
Lean: Under 145.5
Why Lipscomb Covers:
- Elite Shooting Advantage (47.0% FG vs. West Georgia’s 351st-ranked defense).
- Superior Free Throw Shooting (76.0% vs. 68.7%).
- West Georgia’s Weak Home Performance (1-13 at home).
- Lipscomb’s Balanced Attack & Ball Security (10.3 TO, 40th).
Total (O/U) Lean:
- Under 145.5 is the lean due to West Georgia’s low offensive output (69.3 PPG, 299th) and slow tempo.
Lipscomb’s efficient offense, defensive edge, and free-throw advantage make them a strong bet to cover the spread against a West Georgia team that struggles on both ends of the floor. Expect Lipscomb to control the game from start to finish.
