Game Preview: Bills vs Ravens Prediction
Matchup: Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens (-1)
Date & Time: January 19, 2025, 3:30 PM
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Broadcast: CBS
Baltimore Ravens Team Overview
The Baltimore Ravens come into this matchup as one of the league’s most balanced teams. Offensively, they boast the NFL’s best rushing attack, averaging 187.6 yards per game (1st), complemented by a strong passing game at 237.4 yards per contest (7th). They are also one of the highest-scoring teams in the league, putting up 30.5 points per game (3rd).
Defensively, the Ravens excel against the run, leading the NFL by allowing just 80.1 rushing yards per game. While their secondary ranks near the bottom of the league, giving up 244.1 passing yards per game (31st), their ability to control the clock and limit opponents’ rushing attacks often keeps them in games.
Playing at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore enjoys a formidable home-field advantage, and their ground game positions them well in matchups requiring physicality and clock management.
Buffalo Bills Team Overview
The Buffalo Bills enter this game as one of the most dynamic offensive teams in the NFL, averaging 30.9 points per game (2nd). They feature a balanced attack with 227.9 passing yards per game (9th) and 131.2 rushing yards per game (9th). Quarterback Josh Allen and wide receiver Stefon Diggs anchor an explosive passing game capable of exploiting even strong defenses.
Defensively, Buffalo ranks 19th in total yards allowed per game (356.6) and struggles to stop the run, allowing 115.5 rushing yards per game (12th). Their third-down defense ranks among the worst in the league, allowing conversions at a 43.8% rate (T-28th). This could be a key area of concern against Baltimore’s efficient offense.
For Buffalo to win, they’ll need their passing game to exploit Baltimore’s weak secondary while also finding ways to limit the Ravens’ potent ground game.
Key Matchups
Ravens’ Rushing Attack vs. Bills’ Run Defense
Baltimore’s top-ranked rushing attack, led by Lamar Jackson and their elite offensive line, will face a Buffalo defense that has been inconsistent against the run. If the Ravens establish their ground game early, they could control the tempo and wear down the Bills’ defense.
Bills’ Passing Game vs. Ravens’ Secondary
Josh Allen and the Bills’ passing offense hold a clear advantage against Baltimore’s 31st-ranked pass defense. Expect Stefon Diggs to see significant targets as Buffalo looks to create big plays through the air.
Third-Down Efficiency
The Ravens excel on third downs offensively (48.2%, 3rd), while Buffalo struggles to get off the field defensively (43.8%, T-28th). This matchup could be pivotal, as Baltimore’s ability to sustain drives would limit Buffalo’s offensive opportunities.
Bills vs Ravens Prediction
This matchup is a clash of styles: Baltimore’s elite rushing game and physical defense versus Buffalo’s dynamic passing attack and high-scoring offense. While the Bills are more explosive, the Ravens’ ability to control the clock and dominate on third downs gives them a slight edge. Additionally, Baltimore’s home-field advantage and superior run defense should help neutralize Buffalo’s balanced offensive approach.
Final Score Prediction
Baltimore Ravens 28, Buffalo Bills 24
Spread Prediction
The Ravens (-1) should cover the narrow spread in this matchup. Their dominance in the run game, efficiency on third downs, and home-field advantage make them the more reliable choice.
Confidence Level: Moderate.
