New York Jets vs. Los Angeles Rams
Date/Time: Dec 22, 2024, 10:00 AM
Broadcast: CBS
Spread: Rams -3
Team Overview
Los Angeles Rams (8-6-0, 1st NFC West)
The Rams are fighting to secure their place atop the NFC West and need a win to maintain their playoff positioning. Offensively, Los Angeles ranks 14th in total yards per game (353.1), with a solid passing attack that averages 232.1 yards per game (9th). However, their rushing game has been subpar, ranking 23rd with 105.8 yards per game.
Defensively, the Rams have struggled, giving up 371.2 total yards per game (25th) and 24.1 points per game (T-23rd). Their run defense has been particularly poor, allowing 135.4 rushing yards per game (28th). However, they’ve been average at defending the pass, ranking 19th in passing yards allowed per game (218.1).
New York Jets (4-10-0, 3rd AFC East)
The Jets enter this game looking to salvage a disappointing season. Their offense has struggled, ranking T-24th in total yards (324.8) and 31st in rushing yards per game (89.7). While their passing attack is slightly better, it still ranks just 18th with 217.3 yards per game. Scoring has been a challenge, with the Jets averaging 20.2 points per game (22nd).
Defensively, the Jets are much stronger, ranking 8th in total yards allowed per game (335.4) and 5th in passing yards allowed (193.9). Their run defense is middle-of-the-pack, giving up 121.1 rushing yards per game (16th). They’ve been solid in high-leverage situations, allowing a 37.4% conversion rate on third downs (T-13th).
Key Matchups
- Rams Passing Attack vs. Jets Secondary
The Rams rely on their passing game to generate offense, but they face a tough challenge against the Jets’ 5th-ranked pass defense. If the Jets can limit big plays and pressure the quarterback, it could disrupt Los Angeles’ offensive rhythm. - Jets Offense vs. Rams Defense
The Jets’ offense has struggled to establish consistency, and the Rams’ shaky defense presents an opportunity. However, New York’s inability to run the ball effectively could force them to rely on their inconsistent passing game. - Third-Down Efficiency
The Jets hold an edge on third downs offensively (39.2%, 12th) compared to the Rams’ below-average third-down defense (39.5%, T-18th). This matchup could help the Jets sustain drives and stay competitive.
Prediction
The Rams’ passing attack and home-field advantage make them the clear favorites, but their weak run defense could allow the Jets to find balance offensively. New York’s strong defense should help keep this game close, particularly against the Rams’ one-dimensional offense.
Ultimately, the Rams’ superior talent and motivation in the playoff race should be enough to secure the win. However, with the Jets’ ability to keep games close through defense, they’re likely to cover the 3-point spread.
Final Score Prediction: Rams 23, Jets 21
Betting Recommendation: Take the Jets +3
